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Current Market

Monthly Summary

May 2008 – May sales were up 16% over April 08 but were 25% less than last years record sales for May of 2007. Residential sold units were 30% less than May 07 and only up 6% from April 08. Not good news. The only good news is that average sales price continued to increase and at $183,576 is 9% above last year. Listing inventory continued to grow and at the end of May reached 15.9 months of inventory to sell - up 44% from May 07. Average sales prices continue to defy gravity and the laws of supply and demand. Unless we see a major surge in sales in June, with this much inventory, I would expect prices to start to decline. This is definitely a Buyers market.

Total Monthly Residental Sales Volume in Yakima County MLS

Monthly Sales Units in Yakima County MLS

Monthly Average Home Sales Prices in Yakima County MLS

Yakima County MLS Home Inventory - Months to Sell

Home Affordability

Median Sales Price Of Single-Family Homes Affordability

Location 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1st Qtr
% Change
Past Year
Affordability
Index %
Yakima,WA $129,900 $133,900 $136,500 $170,600 $148,400
109%
76%
United States $195,200 $219,000 $221,900 $206,200 $196,300
92% 100%
Northeast $254,400 $281,600 $280,300 $261,700 $280,000
103% 143%
Midwest $151,500 $168,300 $164,800 $156,300 $142,700
92% 73%
South $171,800 $181,100 $183,700 $171,700 $164,200
92% 84%
West $289,100 $340,300 $350,500 $324,100 $296,300
88% 151%
Boise, ID $135,900 $147,000 N/A $198,000 $193,400
95% 99%
Chicago, IL $240,100 $264,200 $273,500 $261,000 $249,600
93% 127%
Denver,CO $239,100 $247,100 $249,500 $230,100 $223,500
93% 114%
Tri-Cities, WA $147,600 $154,400 $156,100 $172,400 $163,700
100% 83%
Los Angeles, CA $446,400 $529,900 $584,300 $509,700 $459,400
79% 234%
Portland, OR $206,500 $244,900 $280,900 $290,500 $286,600
99% 146%
Salt Lake, UT $158,000 $173,900 $203,000 $229,100 $225,700
104% 115%
San Francisco, CA $641,700 $715,700 $736,800 $777,300 $701,700
94% 357%
Sea/Tac/Bel, WA $284,600 $316,800 $361,200 $377,500 $372,300
98% 190%
Spokane, WA $128,500 $156,400 $184,100 $194,100 $186,800
103% 95%

The most often used indicator of housing affordability is the comparison of median sales price of single-family homes. This measure give you a "good" indication of what homes are selling for in various metropolitan areas and regions across the United States. Additionally, each quarter I will list the "% Change over the same quarter Last Year". This measure tells you how much home prices are increasing or decreasing over the same quarter in the prior year.

Finally, I have added a measure called the "Affordability Index" which tells you at a glance what % each areas median home prices are compared to the United State average. I have also included four years history to show the change in home selling prices over these years.

As you can see Yakima is one of the most affordable areas in the nation at 76% of the national average. However, in the first quarter of 2008 prices increased at the rate of 9% over the same quarter last year making Yakima the number one market in the United States for price appreciation. Great news, if you want to sell your home and yet for buyers home prices are still very affordable.

Buying real estate in Yakima is a sound investment as Yakima homes values have distance to catch up with values in the West and the nation as a whole. Additionally, the chance of real estate values declining in Yakima is minimized by the fact that they are already at regionally and nationally low levels.

Lending Rates and Options in the Yakima Valley

In the Yakima Valley there are numerous options to obtain home financing. Listed below are some of these businesses. In these days following “subprime” lending, it is critical that you establish a relationship with your lender and give him adequate time to work with you. Lenders can give you a variety of options and help with ways to improve your credit situation, pre-qualify for a loan and even help arranging and understanding your budget. An early visit to your lender of choice will help you prepare whether you are buying or selling a home.

Apple Valley Mortgage - Yakima - 509-972-0333

Catholic Credit Union - Yakima - (509) 248-2960

Golf Savings Bank – 509-965-5161

Merit Mortgage - (509) 457-1922

National City Mortgage - (509) 453-3100

Northwest Farm Credit Services– loans for farms 10 acres to 400 acres+
Yakima – (509)-225-3200, Sunnyside – (509)-836-3080

Q Point Home Mortgage Loans - (509) 575-4400

Yakima Federal Savings and Loan Association - 509-248-2634

Yakima Valley Credit Union - (509) 248-1720

Lending Rates – Conforming Loan

  May 2008 April 2007 April 1990
30 Year Mortgage Rates 5.99% 5.80% 9.90%
15 Year Mortgage Rates 5.56% 5.40% 7.40%

Bankrate.com expects rates to increase slightly over the next 35 to 45 due to inflationary concerns and the slumping economy.

3-Month Trend (Mortgage Rates)

Mortgage graphics from bankrate.com

 
James Sackman, Realtor
Washington Wine Country Living
JOHN L. SCOTT REAL ESTATE jimsackmann@johnlscott.com
T (509) 248-1970
C (509) 901-3035
381 Baker Road
Selah, WA 98942